Friedrich Schmidt-Bleek |
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MIPS then
is a simple and directionally true indicator that can be applied
to all products and all services alike. Unfortunately the market
is full of different indicators, most of which are pointing in a
non-systemic fashion in specific directions. For instance, there
are plenty of examples why using less energy for a certain service
may have to be paid for by a higher material consumption, leave
alone that the ecological quality of the electricity available is
hardly ever known to the consumer - or even misinterpreted as is
the case with photovoltaic. The label "natural fiber" may hide the
fact that the product is an environmental atrocity, like cotton
from the Aral Lake area. And the label "biological product" very
rarely takes the erosion into account that was generated for its
production. We believe that in many ways MIPS would be a more reasonable
way to describe ecological quality. Naturally, information on the
toxic nature of things would have to be stated in addition, where
known.
Now, the "ecological price" of services, their MIPS, says nothing
about the true resource throughput in an economy. Even if every
product and every service has been dematerialized, the Total Material
Flow through this economy can still be very high and even rising.
Sometimes we call this the "rebound" or "boomerang" effect. Together
with colleagues from your country and others, the total Material
flows of Japan, Germany, the USA, The Netherlands, Vietnam, and
others was computed. Surprisingly, people in OECD countries tend
to consume 40 to 70 tons of non-renewable materials every year while
Vietnamese for instance can still make it on 2 tons.
Two questions remain to be dealt with. First, what is the globally
required dematerialization for reaching ecologically sustainable
conditions. And second, why is it that the western economies do
not run on the lowest possible material input trajectory - as they
should under ideal market conditions?
Lets have a look at the so-called "carrier capacity" question first.
What is the ecological limit for using natural resources on this
earth without destroying the irreplaceable services of the ecosphere?
Nobody knows, really, and it is extremely unlikely that we will
ever have reliable numbers. This is so because the ecosphere is
a non-linear complex system and so is the human economy. The interrelations
are sufficiently complex to defy mathematical answers. But a few
indications led me to suggest that the world-wide reduction of the
current use of natural resources should be cut by at least a factor
of 2 on the average. And this has been widely accepted as a first
approach.
Equity demands, however, an additional consideration. Today, the
20 % richest people of the world consume in excess of 80 % of the
natural resources. The 80 % poor people of this earth are struggling
to reach a similar material prosperity as we enjoy in OECD countries.
That means that we need not only to reduce our take by a factor
of 2 but at least by a factor of 10 in order to leave environmental
space for the poorer countries for their development.
Let us now turn to the economic side of the story that I am privileged
to tell you today.
Why is it that the world economy runs away from sustainability rather
than making the best possible use of resources? The simple answer
to this question is this: because the price signals on the market
prevent that saving of resources is financially attractive beyond
narrow limits. Natural resources are so cheap and the costs of labor
are so high that cost cuttings in all parts of the economy can best
be achieved by saving on labor and buying machines that replace
humans. That's what industry does every day and the stock market
applauds this trend. And every government, church, bank, labor union
and every household in industrialized countries does the same thing.
This means not only that products and services remain less resource
efficient than they could be. It means also that additional natural
resources are invested every day in order to replace human labor.
To some degree, unemployment and environmental destruction thus
have the same origin: a misguided economy. |
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